It is important to consider the margin of error when reading poll results. The maximum sampling error for the 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll party support results is approximately ± 3.1%-points at the 95% confidence level. This is the sampling error for a result around 50%.
Sometimes poll results are compared to actual election outcomes to gauge their accuracy. It’s important to remember that the poll results provide a snapshot in time of where the electorate’s preferences lie – they are not a prediction. People may change their minds in response to events.
That said, the 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll has a strong record in reflecting the outcome of elections over the last 25 years. In addition, at the 2020 election the polls correctly reflected voters decisions on both the 2020 cannabis and end of life referenda. We have continued to evolve the polling method to make it as accurate as possible.